A Cloud-Based Framework for Creating Scalable Machine Learning Models Predicting Building Energy Consumption from Digital Twin Data

Digital Twins (DTs) of buildings can generate large volumes of dynamic data from various sources (e.g., sensors and IoT devices), enabling real-time representation of physical building states in a digital environment. Although machine learning (ML) techniques are increasingly used to predict building energy consumption from this DT data, existing approaches often lack scalability in handling data growth (data scalability) and/or adapting to evolving data patterns (model scalability). This study aims to address both drawbacks by developing a scalable cloud-based framework for the prediction of the building energy consumption. A key contribution to the field is the inclusion of a “monitoring and maintenance” module, which continuously evaluates model performance and triggers retraining only when needed. This enables timely adaptation of the ML model while avoiding unnecessary retraining and the associated computational costs. The framework was implemented and tested in a case study of a commercial building for 90 days, demonstrating its applicability. In a practical setting, the developed model could detect anomalies in time when the accuracy declined below the set threshold (70%) for five days and prevented unnecessary retraining of ML models. The findings support the feasibility of using cloud-based approaches to implement scalable ML models for energy prediction in buildings.