Abstract
Significant variability in reservoir inflows is experienced across eastern Australia as a result of a number of known, identified climate modes. In particular, the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is known to affect primarily summer (October-March) inflows. In this paper, a software suite is presented that enables: (i) the routine prediction of ENSO events, (ii) the assessment of likely inflow on monthly and seasonal timescales, and (iii) the updating of both climate and inflow prediction as new data are received. The scheme is demonstrated by application to a Sydney Catchment Authority (SCA) reservoir that supplies potable water for metropolitan Sydney. The tool is generalized and can be applied anywhere that significant correlations between ENSO and inflows are found.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | IAHS-AISH Publication - Quantification and Reduction of Predictive Uncertainty for Sustainable Water Resources Management |
| Pages | 51-58 |
| Number of pages | 8 |
| Edition | 313 |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Dec 2007 |
| Event | International Symposium: Quantification and Reduction of Predictive Uncertainty for Sustainable Water Resources Management - 24th General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) - Perugia, Italy Duration: 2 Jul 2007 → 13 Jul 2007 |
Conference
| Conference | International Symposium: Quantification and Reduction of Predictive Uncertainty for Sustainable Water Resources Management - 24th General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG) |
|---|---|
| Country/Territory | Italy |
| City | Perugia |
| Period | 2/07/07 → 13/07/07 |
Keywords
- Eastern Australia
- ENSO prediction
- Monthly inflow
- Multi-index approach
- Reservoir
- Seasonal inflow
