TY - JOUR
T1 - A Stock Market Trading System Based on Foreign and Domestic Information
AU - Brzeszczyński, Janusz
AU - Ibrahim, Boulis Maher
PY - 2019/3/15
Y1 - 2019/3/15
N2 - This paper investigates whether a particular magnitude and direction of inter-regional return signal transmission dominates the performance of domestic trading in American, European and Australasian stock markets. A trading system design, based on fuzzy logic rules, combines direct and indirect channels of foreign information transmission, modelled by stochastic parameter regressions, with domestic momentum information to generate stock market trading signals. Filters that control for magnitude and direction of trading signals are then used to investigate incremental impact on economic performance of the proposed investment system. The results indicate that at reasonable levels of transaction costs very profitable trades that are fewer in number do not increase investment performance as much as trades based on foreign information of a specific low-to-medium daily return magnitude of 0.5% to 0.75%. These information-based strategies are profitable on risk-adjusted bases and relative to a market, but performance declines considerably when traded instruments are used.
AB - This paper investigates whether a particular magnitude and direction of inter-regional return signal transmission dominates the performance of domestic trading in American, European and Australasian stock markets. A trading system design, based on fuzzy logic rules, combines direct and indirect channels of foreign information transmission, modelled by stochastic parameter regressions, with domestic momentum information to generate stock market trading signals. Filters that control for magnitude and direction of trading signals are then used to investigate incremental impact on economic performance of the proposed investment system. The results indicate that at reasonable levels of transaction costs very profitable trades that are fewer in number do not increase investment performance as much as trades based on foreign information of a specific low-to-medium daily return magnitude of 0.5% to 0.75%. These information-based strategies are profitable on risk-adjusted bases and relative to a market, but performance declines considerably when traded instruments are used.
KW - Stock market trading
KW - Information transmission
KW - Fuzzy system rules
KW - Stock trading system design
KW - System testing and performance evaluation
KW - Stock market forecasting
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85055054964&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.eswa.2018.08.005
DO - 10.1016/j.eswa.2018.08.005
M3 - Article
VL - 118
SP - 381
EP - 399
JO - Expert Systems with Applications
JF - Expert Systems with Applications
SN - 0957-4174
ER -