Abstract
Advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) have made significant strides in recent years, often supplementing rather than replacing human performance. The extent of their assistance at the highest levels of human performance remains unclear. We analyse over 11.6 million decisions of elite chess players, a domain commonly used as a testbed for AI and psychology due to its complexity and objective assessment. We investigated the impact of two AI chess revolutions: the first in the late 1990s with the rise of powerful PCs and internet access and the second in the late 2010s with deep learning-powered chess engines. The rate of human improvement mirrored AI advancements, but contrary to expectations, the quality of decisions mostly improved steadily over four decades, irrespective of age, with no distinct periods of rapid improvement. Only the youngest top players saw marked gains in the late 1990s, likely due to better access to knowledge and computers. Surprisingly, the recent wave of neural network-powered engines has not significantly impacted the best players – at least, not yet. Our research highlights AI's potential to enhance human capability in complex tasks, given the right conditions, even among the most elite performers.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 1-25 |
Number of pages | 25 |
Journal | British Journal of Psychology |
Early online date | 5 Dec 2024 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | E-pub ahead of print - 5 Dec 2024 |
Keywords
- AI
- Longitudinal study
- Bayesian analysis
- Generalized Additive Models (GAM)
- Multiple Change Point (MCP)