Computers and Chess Masters: The Role of AI in Transforming Elite Human Performance

Merim Bilalic*, Mario Graf, Nemanja Vaci

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

Advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI) have made significant strides in recent years, often supplementing rather than replacing human performance. The extent of their assistance at the highest levels of human performance remains unclear. We analyse over 11.6 million decisions of elite chess players, a domain commonly used as a testbed for AI and psychology due to its complexity and objective assessment. We investigated the impact of two AI chess revolutions: the first in the late 1990s with the rise of powerful PCs and internet access and the second in the late 2010s with deep learning-powered chess engines. The rate of human improvement mirrored AI advancements, but contrary to expectations, the quality of decisions mostly improved steadily over four decades, irrespective of age, with no distinct periods of rapid improvement. Only the youngest top players saw marked gains in the late 1990s, likely due to better access to knowledge and computers. Surprisingly, the recent wave of neural network-powered engines has not significantly impacted the best players – at least, not yet. Our research highlights AI's potential to enhance human capability in complex tasks, given the right conditions, even among the most elite performers.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1-25
Number of pages25
JournalBritish Journal of Psychology
Early online date5 Dec 2024
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 5 Dec 2024

Keywords

  • AI
  • Longitudinal study
  • Bayesian analysis
  • Generalized Additive Models (GAM)
  • Multiple Change Point (MCP)

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