Dynamics of spillover network among oil and leading Asian oil trading countries’ stock markets

Saleha Ashfaq, Yong Tang*, Rashid Maqbool*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

25 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Asia as the largest continent which has the highest consumption of energy, so analyzing the impact of spillover and energy crisis is crucial for this region. In this article the volatility spillovers connections among crude oil, leading Asian oil-exporting and oil-importing countries’ stock exchanges are scrutinized. This study applies the VAR-DCC-GARCH model to examine the spillover network structure with the nine years of daily data from September 01, 2009 to August 31, 2018. The results of these analyses have been displayed the network connections using complex networking technique. Overall strong spillover relations were found among oil-exporting as well as with oil prices. The strong interconnection is alarming for these economies, it is recommended to diversify their dependence on other sectors of the economy too. On the other side, oil-importing countries documented low as well as fewer interconnections and also with oil prices. It means these economies are more self-dependent, they also need to make long term planning to deal with future crisis shocks. Further, the findings of this study will provide an insight to researchers and policymakers regarding the spillover networking among oil and leading Asian trading countries’ stock markets. The networking of the oil price spillover can be extended for the Asian oil trade and subsequent to the whole world.
Original languageEnglish
Article number118077
Number of pages13
JournalEnergy
Volume207
Early online date26 Jun 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 15 Sept 2020
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • oil prices
  • oil-export
  • oil-import
  • stock market
  • VAR-DCC-GARCH
  • volatility

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