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Global Burden of Elevated LDL-C Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023

GBD 2023 LDL Cholesterol Collaborators, Christian Razo*, Nicole K. DeCleene, Catherine O. Johnson, Benjamin A. Stark, Kate LeGrand, Hasan Aalruz, Ukachukwu O. Abaraogu, Samar Abd ElHafeez, Michael Abdelmasseh, Mahmoud Abdelnabi, Sherief Abd-Elsalam, Rasha Abdelsalam Elshenawy, Siddig Ibrahim Abdelwahab, Ali Abdolizadeh, Arash Abdollahi, Meriem Abdoun, Mostafa M. Abdrabou, Deldar Morad Abdulah, Auwal AbdullahiToufik Abdul-Rahman, Melese Shenkut Abebe, Habtamu Abebe Getahun, Olugbenga Olusola Abiodun, Olumide Abiodun, Shady Abohashem, Ulric Sena Abonie, Nagah M. Abourashed, Dmitry Abramov, Mohammed Mehdi Abrar, Dariush Abtahi, Rana Kamal Abu Farha, Bilyaminu Abubakar, Ahmad Y. Abuhelwa, Hana J. Abukhadijah, Salahdein Aburuz, Dina Abushanab, Lisa C. Adams, Nuhu Lawan Lawan Adamu, Mesafint Molla Adane, Isaac Yeboah Addo, Kamoru Ademola Adedokun, Oluwatobi E. Adegbile, Nurudeen A. Adegoke, Saheed Ayodeji Adekola, Mohammad Daud Ali, Mohammad Hifz Ur Rahman, Muhammad Aziz Rahman, Ivy Shiue, Lucky Singh, Cong Wang

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)
9 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Importance:  Elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is a modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease, the leading cause of premature death worldwide. Assessing the LDL-C–related burden is critical for guiding prevention and treatment strategies.

Objectives:  To estimate the global, regional, and national burden of ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke attributable to elevated LDL-C (relative to 35-54 mg/dL) from 1990 to 2023 and to quantify the contributions of population growth, aging, risk-deleted burden, and exposure changes to burden trends.

Design, Setting, and Population:  This comparative risk assessment, part of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2023, estimated population-level LDL-C exposure and associated health loss in 204 countries and territories. Mean LDL-C levels were estimated using spatiotemporal gaussian process regression based on 806 studies across 161 countries. Relative risks were derived from meta-analyses of 38 randomized clinical trials. Population-attributable fractions for deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were estimated by age and sex for adults aged 25 years or older from 1990 to 2023, with 95% uncertainty intervals.

Exposure:  Population-level LDL-C concentrations.

Main Outcomes and Measures:  Population-attributable fractions, counts, and rates (all ages and age standardized per 100 000) of LDL-C–attributable deaths and DALYs from ischemic heart disease and ischemic stroke, with uncertainty intervals.

Results:  In 2023, elevated LDL-C accounted for 3.6 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval, 2.2-5.4 million; 6.0% of global mortality) and 90.7 million DALYs (95% uncertainty interval, 58.9-123.3 million; 3.2% of DALYs). Although global all-ages rates remained stable, age-standardized death and DALY rates decreased by 45.6% and 39.5%, respectively, since 1990. In 2023, age-standardized LDL-C–attributable DALY rates were highest in Eastern Europe and lowest in high-income Asia-Pacific. One-third of the global LDL-C burden occurred in India and China. Population growth and aging drove the increasing burden, with notable regional disparities in LDL-C exposure and risk-deleted DALY rates shifting toward middle-sociodemographic settings.

Conclusions and Relevance:  Despite declining age-standardized rates, the absolute LDL-C burden has increased since 1990 due to demographic changes and has shifted toward middle-sociodemographic countries. Measurement and surveillance gaps persist. Strengthened prevention, diagnosis, and treatment access strategies are essential to mitigate the health burden of LDL-C.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)673-698
Number of pages26
JournalJAMA
Volume336
Issue number8
Early online date29 Jul 2026
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 25 Aug 2026

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

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