Is all politics local? Regional political risk in Russia and the panel of stock returns

Savva Shanaev*, Binam Ghimire

*Corresponding author for this work

    Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

    36 Citations (Scopus)

    Abstract

    This study investigates the presence of political risk premia among 298 listed companies from 59 Russian regions over a five-year period (10/2012–09/2017). Using a regional political stability score not available in the literature, this paper applies panel data approach to evidence the pricing of regional political risk in forms of long-term political instability premium (up to 2.20% monthly) and short-term impact-shock premium. The findings indicate that regional political risk is more impactful than countrywide or international risk and that regional political processes are crucial for the understanding of the synchronisation of stock returns with broader markets.

    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)70-82
    Number of pages13
    JournalJournal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance
    Volume21
    Early online date7 Nov 2018
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 1 Mar 2019

    Keywords

    • Emerging markets
    • Panel data analysis
    • Political risk
    • Regional politics
    • Risk pricing
    • Russian stock market

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