Modelling the Ecological Comorbidity of Acute Respiratory Infection, Diarrhoea and Stunting among Children Under the Age of 5 Years in Somalia

Damaris Kinyoki, Samuel Manda, Grainne Moloney, Elijah Odundo, James Berkley, Abdisalan Noor, Ngianga-Bakwin Kandala

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    Abstract

    The aim of this study was to assess spatial co-occurrence of acute respiratory infections (ARI), diarrhoea and stunting among children of the age between 6 and 59 months in Somalia. Data were obtained from routine biannual nutrition surveys conducted by the Food and Agriculture Organization 2007–2010. A Bayesian hierarchical geostatistical shared component model was fitted to the residual spatial components of the three health conditions. Risk maps of the common spatial effects at 1×1 km resolution were derived. The empirical correlations of the enumeration area proportion were 0.37, 0.63 and 0.66 for ARI and stunting, diarrhoea and stunting and ARI and diarrhoea, respectively. Spatially, the posterior residual effects ranged 0.03–20.98, 0.16–6.37 and 0.08–9.66 for shared component between ARI and stunting, diarrhoea and stunting and ARI and diarrhoea, respectively. The analysis showed clearly that the spatial shared component between ARI, diarrhoea and stunting was higher in the southern part of the country. Interventions aimed at controlling and mitigating the adverse effects of these three childhood health conditions should focus on their common putative risk factors, particularly in the South in Somalia.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)164-176
    JournalInternational Statistical Review
    Volume85
    Issue number1
    Early online date26 Jan 2017
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - Apr 2017

    Keywords

    • Diarrhoea
    • acute respiratory infections
    • stunting
    • geostatistics
    • shared component
    • Somalia

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