Oil price shocks and Sudan’s current account

Elsiddig Rahma, Noel Perera, Kian Tan

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperpeer-review

Abstract

This paper aims at examining the relationship between oil price shocks and the current account in Sudan. The Vector Auto-Regression model is employed using quarterly data over the period 2000:q1 – 2011:q2. The main findings suggest that negative and positive shocks have impacted current account and trade balances in a symmetric fashion. Granger cause test shows that oil price increases and decreases have significant effect on current account balance. Impulse response functions have shown that the initial response of trade and current account balances to positive and negative shocks is statistically significant. Variance decomposition analysis suggests that negative oil price shocks are responsible of the major variations other than the variables own shocks.
Original languageEnglish
Publication statusPublished - 27 Feb 2016
Event4th IBESRA Conference 2016 - Istanbul
Duration: 27 Feb 2016 → …
http://ibesra.com/content/4th-ibesra-international-business-economics-social-sciences-research-association-0

Conference

Conference4th IBESRA Conference 2016
Period27/02/16 → …
Internet address

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