Abstract
Potential climate tipping points pose a growing risk for societies, and policy is calling for improved anticipation of them. Satellite remote sensing can play a unique role in identifying and anticipating tipping phenomena across scales. Where satellite records are too short for temporal early warning of tipping points, complementary spatial indicators can leverage the exceptional spatial-temporal coverage of remotely sensed data to detect changing resilience of vulnerable systems. Combining Earth observation with Earth system models can improve process-based understanding of tipping points, their interactions, and potential tipping cascades. Such fine-resolution sensing can support climate tipping point risk management across scales.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Article number | 343 |
Number of pages | 15 |
Journal | Nature Communications |
Volume | 15 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 6 Jan 2024 |
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In: Nature Communications, Vol. 15, No. 1, 343, 06.01.2024.
Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review
TY - JOUR
T1 - Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales
AU - Lenton, Timothy M.
AU - Abrams, Jesse F.
AU - Bartsch, Annett
AU - Bathiany, Sebastian
AU - Boulton, Chris A.
AU - Buxton, Joshua E.
AU - Conversi, Alessandra
AU - Cunliffe, Andrew M.
AU - Hebden, Sophie
AU - Lavergne, Thomas
AU - Poulter, Benjamin
AU - Shepherd, Andrew
AU - Smith, Taylor
AU - Swingedouw, Didier
AU - Winkelmann, Ricarda
AU - Boers, Niklas
N1 - Funding information: This paper is an outcome of the ‘Tipping Points in the Earth’s Climate’ Forum held at the International Space Science Institute (ISSI), Bern, Switzerland (26-29 January 2021). T.M.L., C.A.B., and J.E.B. were supported by the Leverhulme Trust (RPG-2018-046). T.M.L., J.F.A., C.A.B., and J.E.B. were also supported by DARPA. A.B. was supported by the European Space Agency through Permafrost_cci (4000123681/18/INB) and AMPAC-Net (4000137912/22/I-DT), and the European Research Council project No. 951288 (Q-Arctic). S.B. and N.B. acknowledge funding from the Volkswagen Stiftung, the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 820970 (TiPES contribution #273) and under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement number 956170, as well as from the Federal Ministry of Education and Research under grant number 01LS2001A. A.M.C was supported by the Oppenheimer Programme in African Landscape Systems co-funded by Oppenheimer Generations Research and Conservation. T.S. acknowledges support from the DFG STRIVE project (SM 710/2-1). D.S. received financial support from the French government in the framework of the University of Bordeaux’s IdEx “Investments for the Future” programme/RRI Tackling Global Change and from the UKRI DECADAL project. Funding Information: This paper is an outcome of the ‘Tipping Points in the Earth’s Climate’ Forum held at the International Space Science Institute (ISSI), Bern, Switzerland (26-29 January 2021). T.M.L., C.A.B., and J.E.B. were supported by the Leverhulme Trust (RPG-2018-046). T.M.L., J.F.A., C.A.B., and J.E.B. were also supported by DARPA. A.B. was supported by the European Space Agency through Permafrost_cci (4000123681/18/INB) and AMPAC-Net (4000137912/22/I-DT), and the European Research Council project No. 951288 (Q-Arctic). S.B. and N.B. acknowledge funding from the Volkswagen Stiftung, the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement number 820970 (TiPES contribution #273) and under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement number 956170, as well as from the Federal Ministry of Education and Research under grant number 01LS2001A. A.M.C was supported by the Oppenheimer Programme in African Landscape Systems co-funded by Oppenheimer Generations Research and Conservation. T.S. acknowledges support from the DFG STRIVE project (SM 710/2-1). D.S. received financial support from the French government in the framework of the University of Bordeaux’s IdEx “Investments for the Future” programme/RRI Tackling Global Change and from the UKRI DECADAL project.
PY - 2024/1/6
Y1 - 2024/1/6
N2 - Potential climate tipping points pose a growing risk for societies, and policy is calling for improved anticipation of them. Satellite remote sensing can play a unique role in identifying and anticipating tipping phenomena across scales. Where satellite records are too short for temporal early warning of tipping points, complementary spatial indicators can leverage the exceptional spatial-temporal coverage of remotely sensed data to detect changing resilience of vulnerable systems. Combining Earth observation with Earth system models can improve process-based understanding of tipping points, their interactions, and potential tipping cascades. Such fine-resolution sensing can support climate tipping point risk management across scales.
AB - Potential climate tipping points pose a growing risk for societies, and policy is calling for improved anticipation of them. Satellite remote sensing can play a unique role in identifying and anticipating tipping phenomena across scales. Where satellite records are too short for temporal early warning of tipping points, complementary spatial indicators can leverage the exceptional spatial-temporal coverage of remotely sensed data to detect changing resilience of vulnerable systems. Combining Earth observation with Earth system models can improve process-based understanding of tipping points, their interactions, and potential tipping cascades. Such fine-resolution sensing can support climate tipping point risk management across scales.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85181737796&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1038/s41467-023-44609-w
DO - 10.1038/s41467-023-44609-w
M3 - Article
C2 - 38184618
AN - SCOPUS:85181737796
SN - 2041-1723
VL - 15
JO - Nature Communications
JF - Nature Communications
IS - 1
M1 - 343
ER -