Tail Dependence Dynamics of Global Currency Markets and COVID-19

Md Iftekhar Hasan Chowdhury, Mudassar Hasan, Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad

Research output: Contribution to conferencePaperpeer-review


We explore tail-dependence across global currency markets over the short- and long-run during the COVID-19 pandemic. We resort to the quantile coherency approach of Baruník and Kley (2015) and the partial quantile coherency of Junior, Mullokandov, and Kenett (2015) and find compelling evidence for tail dependence dynamics in the global forex markets. Under a bearish market, the total dependence magnitude is slightly higher in the short-run than in the long run. However, it alters dramatically in the bullish market where it increases significantly in the long run than in the short run. We also notice persistent network clusters based on geographic proximity and market development. Furthermore, the dependence increases significantly during the pandemic episode for certain (most) currencies under the bearish (bullish) market conditions.
Original languageEnglish
Publication statusPublished - 25 Mar 2022
Externally publishedYes
Event58th Annual MBAA International Conference: Getting Back to the Business of Education as (Un)Normal: Publishing: Practical Help for Publishing Success - Palmer House Hilton Hotel, Chicago, United States
Duration: 23 Mar 202225 Mar 2022
Conference number: 58


Conference58th Annual MBAA International Conference
Country/TerritoryUnited States
Internet address

Cite this