The future of the uplands

Mark Reed; Aletta Bonn; Bill Slee; Nesha Beharry-Borg; J. Birch; Iain Brown; Tim Burt; Dan Chapman; Pippa Chapman; Gareth Clay; Stephen Cornell; Evan Fraser; Jayne Glass; Joseph Holden; Jenny Hodgson; Klaus Hubacek; Brian Irvine; Nanlin Jin; Mike Kirkby; William Kunin; Oliver Moore; Darren Moseley; Christina Prell; Martin Price; Claire Quinn; Stephen Redpath; Christine Reid; Sigrid Stagl; Lindsay Stringer; Mette Termansen; Simon Thorp; Willie Towers; Fred Worrall

doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.013

The future of the uplands

Mark Reed, Aletta Bonn, Bill Slee, Nesha Beharry-Borg, J. Birch, Iain Brown, Tim Burt, Dan Chapman, Pippa Chapman, Gareth Clay, Stephen Cornell, Evan Fraser, Jayne Glass, Joseph Holden, Jenny Hodgson, Klaus Hubacek, Brian Irvine, Nanlin Jin, Mike Kirkby, William KuninOliver Moore, Darren Moseley, Christina Prell, Martin Price, Claire Quinn, Stephen Redpath, Christine Reid, Sigrid Stagl, Lindsay Stringer, Mette Termansen, Simon Thorp, Willie Towers, Fred Worrall

Computer Information Sciences Department

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

86 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Upland areas provide UK society with many important functions, goods and services, but have experienced a number of disturbing trends and face an uncertain future. This paper outlines historic, current and future drivers of environmental, economic, socio-cultural and policy change in UK uplands, and assesses how these have affected or are likely to affect ways in which land is used and the provision of ecosystem services. Information is synthesised into scenarios summarising a range of possible futures anticipated for UK uplands to 2060 and beyond. Finally, innovations in science, technology, governance and policy are evaluated that could enable uplands to continue providing key ecosystem services under a range of scenarios. The paper concludes that many upland areas will need to be prepared for significant reductions in grazing and prescribed burning. Conversely, other areas could experience agricultural intensification, for example significant increases in grazing or an expansion of arable or bioenergy crops into upland valleys, due to anticipated increases in global demand for food and energy. These scenarios will take place in the context of climate change. Many may take place together and may interact with each other, with complex and unpredictable implications for the upland environment, economy and society. In this context, a number of advances are needed in science, technology and policy to maintain viable upland communities and the future provision of ecosystem services. These may include funding for ecological and hydrological restoration via carbon offsetting or other means. It may also involve advances in ecosystem service modelling, mapping and valuation, which through stakeholder participation could facilitate more integrated rural planning. New forms of environmental governance need to be explored that can empower those interested in developing upland economies to maintain thriving upland communities, while managing the ecosystem services they provide as efficiently as possible.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	S204-S216
Journal	Land Use Policy
Volume	26
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.013
Publication status	Published - Dec 2009

Keywords

United Kingdom
scenarios
environment
ecosystem services

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.013

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@article{67bd80ae7374498fac181a15ab3f9e22,

title = "The future of the uplands",

abstract = "Upland areas provide UK society with many important functions, goods and services, but have experienced a number of disturbing trends and face an uncertain future. This paper outlines historic, current and future drivers of environmental, economic, socio-cultural and policy change in UK uplands, and assesses how these have affected or are likely to affect ways in which land is used and the provision of ecosystem services. Information is synthesised into scenarios summarising a range of possible futures anticipated for UK uplands to 2060 and beyond. Finally, innovations in science, technology, governance and policy are evaluated that could enable uplands to continue providing key ecosystem services under a range of scenarios. The paper concludes that many upland areas will need to be prepared for significant reductions in grazing and prescribed burning. Conversely, other areas could experience agricultural intensification, for example significant increases in grazing or an expansion of arable or bioenergy crops into upland valleys, due to anticipated increases in global demand for food and energy. These scenarios will take place in the context of climate change. Many may take place together and may interact with each other, with complex and unpredictable implications for the upland environment, economy and society. In this context, a number of advances are needed in science, technology and policy to maintain viable upland communities and the future provision of ecosystem services. These may include funding for ecological and hydrological restoration via carbon offsetting or other means. It may also involve advances in ecosystem service modelling, mapping and valuation, which through stakeholder participation could facilitate more integrated rural planning. New forms of environmental governance need to be explored that can empower those interested in developing upland economies to maintain thriving upland communities, while managing the ecosystem services they provide as efficiently as possible.",

keywords = "United Kingdom, scenarios, environment, ecosystem services",

author = "Mark Reed and Aletta Bonn and Bill Slee and Nesha Beharry-Borg and J. Birch and Iain Brown and Tim Burt and Dan Chapman and Pippa Chapman and Gareth Clay and Stephen Cornell and Evan Fraser and Jayne Glass and Joseph Holden and Jenny Hodgson and Klaus Hubacek and Brian Irvine and Nanlin Jin and Mike Kirkby and William Kunin and Oliver Moore and Darren Moseley and Christina Prell and Martin Price and Claire Quinn and Stephen Redpath and Christine Reid and Sigrid Stagl and Lindsay Stringer and Mette Termansen and Simon Thorp and Willie Towers and Fred Worrall",

year = "2009",

month = dec,

doi = "10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.013",

language = "English",

volume = "26",

pages = "S204--S216",

journal = "Land Use Policy",

issn = "0264-8377",

publisher = "Elsevier",

}

Reed, M, Bonn, A, Slee, B, Beharry-Borg, N, Birch, J, Brown, I, Burt, T, Chapman, D, Chapman, P, Clay, G, Cornell, S, Fraser, E, Glass, J, Holden, J, Hodgson, J, Hubacek, K, Irvine, B, Jin, N, Kirkby, M, Kunin, W, Moore, O, Moseley, D, Prell, C, Price, M, Quinn, C, Redpath, S, Reid, C, Stagl, S, Stringer, L, Termansen, M, Thorp, S, Towers, W & Worrall, F 2009, 'The future of the uplands', Land Use Policy, vol. 26, pp. S204-S216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.013

TY - JOUR

T1 - The future of the uplands

AU - Reed, Mark

AU - Bonn, Aletta

AU - Slee, Bill

AU - Beharry-Borg, Nesha

AU - Birch, J.

AU - Brown, Iain

AU - Burt, Tim

AU - Chapman, Dan

AU - Chapman, Pippa

AU - Clay, Gareth

AU - Cornell, Stephen

AU - Fraser, Evan

AU - Glass, Jayne

AU - Holden, Joseph

AU - Hodgson, Jenny

AU - Hubacek, Klaus

AU - Irvine, Brian

AU - Jin, Nanlin

AU - Kirkby, Mike

AU - Kunin, William

AU - Moore, Oliver

AU - Moseley, Darren

AU - Prell, Christina

AU - Price, Martin

AU - Quinn, Claire

AU - Redpath, Stephen

AU - Reid, Christine

AU - Stagl, Sigrid

AU - Stringer, Lindsay

AU - Termansen, Mette

AU - Thorp, Simon

AU - Towers, Willie

AU - Worrall, Fred

PY - 2009/12

Y1 - 2009/12

N2 - Upland areas provide UK society with many important functions, goods and services, but have experienced a number of disturbing trends and face an uncertain future. This paper outlines historic, current and future drivers of environmental, economic, socio-cultural and policy change in UK uplands, and assesses how these have affected or are likely to affect ways in which land is used and the provision of ecosystem services. Information is synthesised into scenarios summarising a range of possible futures anticipated for UK uplands to 2060 and beyond. Finally, innovations in science, technology, governance and policy are evaluated that could enable uplands to continue providing key ecosystem services under a range of scenarios. The paper concludes that many upland areas will need to be prepared for significant reductions in grazing and prescribed burning. Conversely, other areas could experience agricultural intensification, for example significant increases in grazing or an expansion of arable or bioenergy crops into upland valleys, due to anticipated increases in global demand for food and energy. These scenarios will take place in the context of climate change. Many may take place together and may interact with each other, with complex and unpredictable implications for the upland environment, economy and society. In this context, a number of advances are needed in science, technology and policy to maintain viable upland communities and the future provision of ecosystem services. These may include funding for ecological and hydrological restoration via carbon offsetting or other means. It may also involve advances in ecosystem service modelling, mapping and valuation, which through stakeholder participation could facilitate more integrated rural planning. New forms of environmental governance need to be explored that can empower those interested in developing upland economies to maintain thriving upland communities, while managing the ecosystem services they provide as efficiently as possible.

AB - Upland areas provide UK society with many important functions, goods and services, but have experienced a number of disturbing trends and face an uncertain future. This paper outlines historic, current and future drivers of environmental, economic, socio-cultural and policy change in UK uplands, and assesses how these have affected or are likely to affect ways in which land is used and the provision of ecosystem services. Information is synthesised into scenarios summarising a range of possible futures anticipated for UK uplands to 2060 and beyond. Finally, innovations in science, technology, governance and policy are evaluated that could enable uplands to continue providing key ecosystem services under a range of scenarios. The paper concludes that many upland areas will need to be prepared for significant reductions in grazing and prescribed burning. Conversely, other areas could experience agricultural intensification, for example significant increases in grazing or an expansion of arable or bioenergy crops into upland valleys, due to anticipated increases in global demand for food and energy. These scenarios will take place in the context of climate change. Many may take place together and may interact with each other, with complex and unpredictable implications for the upland environment, economy and society. In this context, a number of advances are needed in science, technology and policy to maintain viable upland communities and the future provision of ecosystem services. These may include funding for ecological and hydrological restoration via carbon offsetting or other means. It may also involve advances in ecosystem service modelling, mapping and valuation, which through stakeholder participation could facilitate more integrated rural planning. New forms of environmental governance need to be explored that can empower those interested in developing upland economies to maintain thriving upland communities, while managing the ecosystem services they provide as efficiently as possible.

KW - United Kingdom

KW - scenarios

KW - environment

KW - ecosystem services

U2 - 10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.013

DO - 10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.013

M3 - Article

SN - 0264-8377

VL - 26

SP - S204-S216

JO - Land Use Policy

JF - Land Use Policy

ER -

The future of the uplands

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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