The impact of aggregate and disaggregate consumption shocks on the Equity Risk Premium in the United Kingdom

Pankaj Chandorkar, Sunil Poshakwale

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    Abstract

    We examine the impact of aggregate and disaggregate consumption shocks on the ex-post Equity Risk Premium (ERP) of FTSE indices and the 25 Fama-French portfolios. Findings suggest that aggregate consumption shocks seem to explain significant time variation in the ERP. At disaggregated level, the ERP increases when the actual consumption is less than expected. Finally, durable and semi-durable consumption shocks have a greater impact on the ERP than non-durable consumption shocks.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)489–524
    Number of pages41
    JournalAnnals of Economics and Finance
    Volume20
    Issue number2
    Early online date18 Oct 2018
    Publication statusPublished - Nov 2019

    Keywords

    • Equity Risk Premium
    • Consumption Wealth Channel
    • Consumption Shocks
    • Structural Vector Autoregression
    • Asset Pricing

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