Violation of lockdown norms and peaks in daily number of positive cases to COVID-19 in Italy

Gabriele Ruiu; Maria Ruiu

doi:10.35241/emeraldopenres.13699.1

Violation of lockdown norms and peaks in daily number of positive cases to COVID-19 in Italy

Gabriele Ruiu, Maria Ruiu

Social Sciences Department

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Abstract

Italy has been the first Western Country to suffer a massive outbreak of COVID-19. Starting from the 11st of March 2020, the Italian Government approved a series of emergency restrictive measures to limit people’s movement and social contacts. The aim of this short paper is to test if the number of norm-violations (related to people’s movement) might contribute to the peaks of new COVID-19 positives after few days. We show that peaks in the violations of the lockdown norms correspond to peaks in new positive cases about 6 days later.

Original language	English
Number of pages	10
Journal	Emerald Open Research
Volume	2
Issue number	25
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.35241/emeraldopenres.13699.1
Publication status	Published - 13 May 2020

Keywords

Covid19
lockdown
Italy
contagion

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10.35241/emeraldopenres.13699.1Licence: CC BY

84732a54-b7d4-46b6-948d-89abf00fbfbf_13699_-_gabriele_ruiuFinal published version, 527 KBLicence: CC BY

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abstract = "Italy has been the first Western Country to suffer a massive outbreak of COVID-19. Starting from the 11st of March 2020, the Italian Government approved a series of emergency restrictive measures to limit people{\textquoteright}s movement and social contacts. The aim of this short paper is to test if the number of norm-violations (related to people{\textquoteright}s movement) might contribute to the peaks of new COVID-19 positives after few days. We show that peaks in the violations of the lockdown norms correspond to peaks in new positive cases about 6 days later.",

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Violation of lockdown norms and peaks in daily number of positive cases to COVID-19 in Italy

Abstract

Keywords

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