Abstract
Accurate forecasting of energy consumption and generation is essential for the efficient operation of smart grids, particularly in weather-sensitive environments. This study proposes a hybrid ensemble framework, NeuroFusion, which integrates Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks with extreme Gradient Boosting (XG-Boost) within a meta-learning structure. The LSTM model captures sequential and long-range temporal dependencies inherent in energy usage, while XGBoost captures non-linear interactions among meteorological variables through boosted decision trees. Combining these complementary models results in a robust and high-fidelity forecasting system that adapts to variable weather patterns. NeuroFusion was evaluated using real-world hourly datasets comprising both weather and energy data. The proposed model achieved prediction accuracies of up to 96.3% for energy generation and 91.3% for energy consumption, significantly outperforming individual base models. In terms of error reduction, NeuroFusion decreased the root mean squared error by more than 74% for consumption and over 77% for generation when compared to standalone implementations. These results confirm the efficacy of combining memory-based and gradient-based learning techniques for accurate and resilient forecasting in smart grid environments.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Title of host publication | 2025 IEEE International Conference on Communications, Control, and Computing Technologies for Smart Grids (SmartGridComm) |
| Place of Publication | Piscataway, NJ |
| Publisher | IEEE |
| Pages | 1-6 |
| Number of pages | 6 |
| ISBN (Electronic) | 9798331520847 |
| ISBN (Print) | 9798331520854 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 21 Oct 2025 |
| Event | IEEE SmartGridComm 2025 - Toronto, Canada Duration: 29 Sept 2025 → 2 Oct 2025 |
Conference
| Conference | IEEE SmartGridComm 2025 |
|---|---|
| Country/Territory | Canada |
| City | Toronto |
| Period | 29/09/25 → 2/10/25 |
Keywords
- smart cities
- energy forecasting
- machine learning
- time-series prediction
- demand response
- renewable energy integration
- Time-series prediction
- Smart cities
- Machine learning
- Renewable energy integration
- Demand response
- Energy forecasting